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A Free Bet on the Demise of the Euro Win a complete set of mint 2002 Euros from all 12 euro-zone countries! go to Current spread of bets on the Demise of Sterling or return to the Prediction Form Predictions for the Demise of the Euro: Year Month Day Name Foresight 1950 Oct 25 Steven Morris, Massachusetts -19,065 days 1996 Jan 25 Mike Easton, Lincoln -2,632 days 2003 Apr 1 josephine white, grimsby 110 days 2003 Dec 26 Steve T, Staffs My advice is that all citizens of Euro member states should take advantage of the season and get along to your nearest Lidl supermarket and exchange all your worthless euros for the much more valuable chocolate euros. Don't delay - you have until the 24th of December! 21 days 2004 Jan 1 David Delaney, Herefordshire The collapse of the euro will follow closely after the day when the UK withdraws from the EU - 5/9/03 461 days 2004 Jan 26 michelle pilling, north west england people are finding it difficult, to adapt to the new currency 299 days 2004 Jun 1 Sue Doughty, Berkshire I think it is hanging on by a thread already and when Bliar resigns on ill health ground just before the Hutton Report it will be a dead duck and tey will have to start unravelling it. Jan 8th to Jun of the same year, should be enough time to set up national currencies again? 179 days 2004 Nov 7 Peter Edge, Portsmouth The inherent economic differences between a number of member states will cause the euro to collapse near the end of 2004. The euro constraints will make a recession in europe 2003 dip into a depression in 2004 and member states will withdraw from the euro. 507 days 2004 Dec 25 Philip Foster, Church of England High on my list of 'must haves' for next Christmas - but don't mind if I get it this Christmas. Thank you Santa Delors (retired). 386 days 2005 Jan 1 Louize, Scotland Lets not be part of this ridiculous federal state any longer 640 days 2005 Jan 4 Ron Scaia, US, but for the past 3 yrs the UK What collapse? It isn't going to. The British Pound Sterling on the other hand has to. Live in the UK for a couple years, taste reality as an average UK citizen (no, forget I said taste!), listen to the people--the lament over the big nothing the Pound buys them in their own country--and feel the British system's hands scraping the last pound out of your pocket; realize that eighty odd percent of Britain's citizenry are living on major plastic just to (this is a recent statistic provided buy the BBC)...I think you get the idea. Wait. Three more (it's good pickens. What can I tell ya?). Realize that the housing industry has single handedly perpetrated a fraudulent valuation system which it has duped buyers with, and thus wildly inflated 'cost of purchase' (this also the product of a very recent 'BBC TV Exposes Estate Agents' scam report. Britain's famous, once the envy of the world's NHS (National Health System) is absolutely on its backside; I'm talking cues of 80 or more people, just to see a dentist (again the subject of TV nightly reports and WEB courtesy of investigations. My final one is a bute. Try this on for size: you stop at the local petrol station, fill up your average auto, watch the tote ring itself up to well over forty-five pounds--that's 1.8 something against the buck right now--and realize you've just squished 60 to 70 bucks out of your pocket.... Say no more, ya know wha' I mean, gov? An all of this doesn't even reach down as deeply as reality allows the financial troubles of the UK to exist at this moment in time. So, my guess is not to predict the collapse of the Euro. Au contraire. This is approximately when the Pound Sterling's going to hit the fan. You see, what I'd really love for someone to explain (because I have my own thoughts on this) is, statiscally speaking, how IS the Pound Sterling actually valued against other currencies; in my case the US dollar. Seriously, I've never known (candidly admitting my lack of bean-counter acumen. I've read that over time the UK has attempted to realign its currency on several occasions even with Germany's and once with the US. But from my vantage point, I just can't see any reason for the Pound to be valued so high against the buck. Is it a matter of GDP? Thanks, Ron Scaia P.S. (I just can't help myself) You want to check out something rediculous: the British Road Tax. For instance, I drive a 330 CI Beamer--I also pay for it!--and the road tax (yup, that's just for the permission to roll over Britain's, how shall I say this, a bit less than lovely roads, is 4,500 Pounds! I could go on forever...but I'll save it all for a book. 308 days 2005 Jan 21 G.W. Bush, USA The day after I start my second term and replace all currencies with the U.S. Dollar!! 519 days 2005 Feb 17 Harry Mactaggart, west midlands As soon as those countries who are voting on the new European constitution,have voted against it, the EU will start to break up. 501 days 2005 Apr 15 Ingvild Sebu Miland, SU, UME 611 days 2005 May 1 Hubert Jongen, LIBERTARIAN INTERNATIONAL One year after extension of EU with eastern european countries 450 days 2005 May 7 Colin Rout, United Kingdom Independence Party When the British Government of Labour colapses after the general election and the conservatives fail to get any more seats, the liberal democrates without any seats either Which leaves the United Kingdom Independence Party in Power who take us out of that club that calls itself the European union and all the other countries on that land mass which is the continent of europe decide to follow suit and leave the club to. 153 days 2005 Jul 1 Steven, Massachusetts 848 days 2005 Jul 4 John Bowles, UKIP Gosport, Hampshire, I believe that with the joining countries seeing the EU for what it really is, another Soviet, and with the increased costs by Britain, Germany, Ireland and Holland to finance the new members, along with CAP reductions to French farmers in lieu of Polish farmers, continued mass unemployment within the Eurozone and continued breaking of the Growth and Stability pact by the Big 2, the ECB raising interest rates to a 5 year high, will see the Euro head for where it belongs, on the Monopoly board. 577 days 2005 Aug 8 jan, United States 338 days 2005 Aug 17 Bob Ward, Farnham Surrey 557 days 2005 Dec 25 gordon brown, scotland/limelight that so called friend tony backtracked on his promise to quit so stuff him and his euro!not only will my evil fiscal policies ruin the euro the pound will also come a cropper as will christmas day,we will all revert back to the bartering system of economy so life will be much simpler,which will be lucky for me as i havent a clue what all these peolpe are talking about,so tony you can stuff your euro up your turkey's ...... i am off to live in a cave..... 134 days 2006 Jan 1 Mr. N V, Not Valid UK PLC Dear Ron (USA in UK for 3 Years), On behalf of the entire country: why dont you go back to the bibel belt, gas guzzling, hicksville, backwater town in the USA from whence you came to us. Some points; At least we have the NHS (which you mock), try to restrict our pollution by increasing fuel taxes (which you also mock), have a resonably accesible higher education system (which you neglect to mention), know that countries exist beyond our borders (which you forget), and have buildings older than your entire country. For good measure; The UK is the single best performing economy in the EU AND THE G8 (of which the United States of Whateva is a member I add), and (as your profile bears witness to) is a hell'u'va lot better than the ol' US of A. 571 days 2006 Mar 2 nbjhuj, denmark all you people can go and get fucked you bunch of pathetic losers dont you have anything else to do then predict shit like this. you all seem either sitting on your arses do nothing or you have no lives any good day to you all dick flips 256 days 2006 Apr 21 peterlear, hertfordshire -1 days 2006 May 1 Oliver, Somerset Once Italy pulls, out the Greeks may well follow and maybe the Portugese. It might of survived if France, Germany and Italy had kept to the stability pact but due to their inability to lower GDP percentage borrowing to realistic proportions it has became a laughing stock. Exports will not become more competitive as the exchange rate between different EU countries will exist just it will be fixed. Anyway the EU imports less from the UK than the UK imports. For example, in a trade war, Britain could put a tariff on Champagne. This would ruin France's vine yards as the UK is the worlds largest importer of Champagne even ahead of the US at 35 Million bottles a year. The last time Britain went into monetary union with Germany, it caused a collapse in the stock market and the tory government. Anyway, western countries are possibly on the way out especially in GDP as countries like China will overtake all even the US. 121 days 2006 May 4 Jack, West Dorset Lets hope The EU collapses soon with its new members. It will eventually but whether it is with bloody consequences only time will tell. WAKE UP BRITAIN! 784 days 2006 May 4 Roger Thomas, UKIP 1,305 days 2006 May 30 Maxine Nesbitt, EC3 1,338 days 2006 Jun 4 john williams, uk betrayed - n e lincs 206 days 2006 Jun 6 P Banks, Mercia It's doomed already (6/10/03), but they do everything so slowly it'll take them this long to admit defeat. 974 days 2006 Jun 7 Philip W Graham, UKIP Soon after we vote down the EU constitution! 532 days 2006 Jul 1 Joan Sharkey, USA 383 days 2006 Jul 3 Jonathan Hewitt, Newcastle Upon Tyne My 21st birthday, what a mint present that would be, I am waiting for the day those EU 'dictators' are seen for what they actually are and the UK tells the EU to burn in Hell!!! 1,300 days 2006 Oct 8 brian brodie, london a little before the five years predicted but sound advice 1,130 days 2006 Oct 10 Tony Barker, Holbeach, Lincs When the Euro crashes, i certainly hope we are not in it! 870 days 2006 Nov 14 Karan J. Wright, Wales 1,510 days 2007 Jan 1 Pawel, Zachodniopomorskie 1,332 days 2007 Mar 13 Steve, West Sussex I hope it is sooner but Gordon's plan to take us into it by stealth is on track. It is a race against time but hopefully Gordon will fail. 317 days 2007 Mar 16 Mary Leighton, Durham 1,632 days 2007 May 19 donna, britian donna thinks the euro is going out and sterlings in! 1,325 days 2007 May 22 Andy C, West Sussex It has passed its sell by date and waiting to be removed before it gets to moldy. 1,212 days 2007 Jun 8 Alvaro da Silva, Lisbon, Portugal 1,281 days 2007 Jun 21 Peter Layton, London England Doomed! 1,242 days 2007 Jul 4 kenneth rice, Oregon, USA well the euro is falling fast and other countries such as Germany, Italy, Holland, and many others wanting to go back to their original currency. I see that a lot more failure in the union will bring the governments to their knees and ask for their old currencies back for good. Plus Germany has changed their currency so many times that it wouldn't suprise me if they changed back. The euro has been bad for many of the nation's economies, because they get less with the euro. 762 days 2007 Jul 15 Peter Layton, London No politically instituted currency has ever succeeded. 757 days 2007 Jul 21 Bernard Guerrero, New York 1,331 days 2007 Jul 26 Peter Vile, Devon People will soon realise that it is not a good idea to join other bankrupt countries to try and emulate them. 987 days 2007 Jul 27 Tony Kay, Derbyshire 1,116 days 2007 Sep 15 Sarah Michelle Wilson, Manchester Let's just hope that we all end up better off x 1,585 days 2007 Sep 16 Carl Brett, Derbyshire 1,224 days 2007 Oct 10 Louise Waine, Leicestershire i think the euro is a good idea but i dont want to change the sterling. hello 2 everybody i no :D 551 days 2007 Oct 13 J. G. scott, dh4 not soon enough for me! 283 days 2007 Nov 19 Malcolm A, London I've already started to save money for the party I'm going to throw. 1,845 days 2007 Dec 24 Dainis, Latvia 1,256 days 2007 Dec 25 adam, powys 82 days 2008 Mar 1 Matthew O'Dowd, Prescot, Liverpool, Lancashire I believe that the euro will collapse around this time. As soon as there is a "real" recession, the member states will pull out one by one just as happened in the Soviet Union and Yugoslavia in the early 1990s. I believe the EU will fall shortly afterwards and the real currencies re emerge. As the saying goes- "Those who ignore the past are doomed to repeat it". This is a grand example of repeating past failures. 1,660 days 2008 Mar 21 Tom Hughes, North-West 1,259 days 2008 Apr 6 Mstr Henry J. Golding, Suffolk Each country has its own economy and by combining the currencies you are combining the economies. Thus, when one of the larger economies, such as Germany, goes into recession, as it inevitably will, it will drag the others down with it. 1,298 days 2008 May 12 Andy Gora, Canada 1,564 days 2008 Jun 1 john williams, UK Betrayed - Grimsby You can hear the creaking already. There will be breakaways over the next few years. 1,559 days 2008 Jun 14 James Holland, Kent 1,152 days 2008 Jun 30 Eric Scharringa, Paris Bound to be caused by pressure on monetary financing of deficits. 1,462 days 2008 Jul 29 Anthony Taylor, Warwickshire The sooner the better. 610 days 2008 Aug 24 Gregor, Nottinghamshire August 24 is my birthday and what better present than the safegaurding of teh Sterling? 1,557 days 2008 Aug 31 Max Townsend, Stockport MBC Don't we deserve an apology from those people who said the UK economy would collapse if we did not join! 872 days 2008 Sep 1 GAVIN SANDEMAN, Business marketing Hants 900 days 2008 Oct 1 Andrew Stuart, euro-sceptic.org, Cambridge I think there is six years life left. 2,197 days 2008 Oct 10 richard waine, ruislip, middlesex Without a harminization of taxes, this experiment was doomed at birth.I'm just glad the uk stayed out of it, even though we spent £25 million of tax payers money helping set something up, which was never going to work. 1,225 days 2008 Oct 13 James Hall, Wiltshire 1,827 days 2008 Oct 18 Mr E Meeds, Sussex 657 days 2008 Oct 24 Nik, South Ontario I hate the EURO, only because I believe that when one visits a country, you should have THEIR money, not some flashy crap like the EUR... : (( Also, where is the history of the people going? Oh yeah, there was some special dude, but whatever! I mean Freud, Volta, Montessori, Ensor, SAX, Sibilius(sp?), Guaß, Gama, Raphael, Cézanne, Exupéry, Colon, Pizarro, Joyce, etc.... I don't see any on the EURs... : ( Oh, great, 2007, 8, 9 MORE are supposed to ditch their money -- SIT, SKK, PLN, EEK, LVL, LTL, HRK, CZK... THat's all! 1,324 days 2008 Oct 25 Cathal, Ireland That's the point, Nik, there are no national icons on the Euro BANKNOTES as they are not national BANKNOTES they are transnational that are meant to 'evoke not specific points of Europeanness, but a composite, shared sense of union' , not insular nationalism in which case the euro notes would be merely a composite of the Mark,Franc,Lira,Peseta. I highlight the word banknotes as if you were to look closer at the Euro which you 'hate' you would see that each of the 12(and rising) meber states of the Eurozone each get to mint their own national coins with a nationalised back, where such luminaries as the poetic 'marianne' of France, Cervantes of Spain, Queen Beatrix of the Netherlands, Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart of Austria and my own Irish Celtic Harp are immortalised in the nickel and copper of the Euro Coins. LONG LIVE THE EUROZONE, LONG LIVE EUROPE! 1,011 days 2008 Dec 7 n kaur, md 1,282 days 2008 Dec 28 Mat, Poland My favourite numbers :-) 2,144 days 2008 Dec 31 Bay Florian, France This is my prediction : In 2007 the new french president is the libral Nicolas Sarkozy, for reforms the France and have a good economic growth rate, he decides to modify the interests rates, that cause a problem with the Europe, so France withdraw from the euro, that cause a domino effect wich cause the departure of Italy and Spain in the middle of 2008 so the EU décide to the end the euro experience after the 31/12/2008. 1,601 days 2009 Jan 1 Alex, North 2,001 days 2009 Jan 2 Michael Tomkins, London More and more people are finding the real truth of the insane EU dominators 1,066 days 2009 Feb 2 John Murphy, Eurosceptic Londoner The sooner the better! 1,738 days 2009 Mar 22 Richard J Waine, Milton Keynes, United Kingdom Forget the Euro, the pound sterling is part of our identity. The same should be said for all currencies in all countries. It's good to be different. 1,262 days 2009 Apr 10 Anselm Plummer, Newport 460 days 2009 Jul 12 Glyn Evans, Essex 1,537 days 2009 Aug 14 John Mackenzie, Shropshire Good as any 2,132 days 2009 Sep 15 daniel holburn, west midlands 1,941 days 2009 Dec 31 Dean W. Martin, New Jersey, USA 1,649 days 2010 Jan 1 David Robinson, Croatia 2,043 days 2010 Jan 2 Rene von Rentzell, Yo Intl. I hope it happens sooner! 1,645 days 2010 Jan 3 felix rizo, new jersey 621 days 2010 Feb 2 Matt Davies, UKIP Woking Just after UKIP win an historic 1st term, pulling Britain out of the house of cards, that is the EU. Other countries that prop the EU up with cash, such as Germany and France, realise that it is not doing the citizens of their nations any good either. The whole thing goes down like a tonne of bricks, and a few wars break out between countries that feel they have lost the most. 1,869 days 2010 Feb 5 Peter Lucas, Dorset Soon! 1,474 days 2010 Feb 12 Derek, Yorkshire The sooner the better ! 1,168 days 2010 Jun 5 Albert Spits, Frederic Bastiat Foundation The Netherlands In 2010 the economic strain on the Eurozone countries will become unbearable, i.e. pensions, taxation, excessive monetary growth (M1) health expenses, all due to the ageing of the populations in these countries. 1,518 days 2010 Jul 1 Christopher, Capital Corridor The problem with picking exact times is that they're rarely correct. It seems that as soon as the euro is introduced as the currency it falls out of favour. "Open your minds euro sceptics" rings hollow when contrasted to that reality. As the US dollar loses it's absoloute dominance pressure will be put on the euro that could very well crush it. Southern Europe cannot compete anymore, even within the EU. The promises of price stability and keeping the products of EU member state's competetive within and out of the EU proved dead-wrong. 1,067 days 2010 Jul 16 Michael Wykeham, Wiltshire Bang! Hoorray 1,278 days 2010 Nov 16 Tom Hannan, Global Traveller Having worked in Germany, Holland and Italy I know that many people I have spoken to wish to see a return to their National Currencies and regret the day their Governments took them into Mickey-Mouse land and Mickey-Mouse money. 2,421 days 2011 Apr 19 Michael Turner, Newcastle-under-Lyme 1,347 days 2011 Apr 25 Heywood, Glasgow 2,711 days 2011 Sep 11 Janet Abbott, Christchurch Dorset 1,243 days 2011 Sep 16 shahnewaz nur rashid, bangladesh 3,214 days 2011 Oct 28 kenneth cobley, london 1,821 days 2012 Jan 1 Edgar De La Vega, Northeastern United States 1,360 days 2012 Feb 12 Johan VdW, Belgium 3,198 days 2012 Mar 17 Jesse Pryke, UKIP Chelmsford 1,368 days 2012 May 15 David Hornsby, Uni of Kent There'll be a concerted effort to nurse the currency through 10 years, but sustained economic weakness and the prospect of monetary union with even more Eastern European economies will focus minds in Germany, Italy and France, with France pulling out first. 2,536 days 2012 Jun 15 Ian Gardiner, Canterbury 3,550 days 2012 Sep 27 Wattsie, Wales 2,199 days 2012 Nov 27 Mitchell Diaco, Chicago, Illinois, USA The sooner, the better ~ I would be willing to loose the bet:-) 1,991 days 2012 Dec 20 Kanga, uk That's when the Mayan calender saids the world will end. 2,072 days 2012 Dec 21 Mike Brubaker, Ardsley, New York Damn Mayans! 2,195 days 2012 Dec 31 Andrew Taylor, Veritas This is an impossible date to guess. I think it will be the same day as the collaps of the European Union! Because of modern communications I cannot see the EU lasting as long as the Soviet Revolution. However, it could be any time from 2012 to 2050. Being from South Africa I am an optimist and always look on the bright side, which is why I have settled for 2012! 2,423 days 2013 Jan 7 Sol Triane, California, USA 2,887 days 2013 Feb 17 Vincenzo Canta, Turin - Piedmont - Italy 3,770 days 2013 May 5 xena, Austria 2,877 days 2013 Aug 1 Richard J, USA Both currencies are destined to survive for the long-term however EU member nations will eventually have a falling-out and many will leave the union. After all is said and done only 10 (ten) member-nations will remain to be called "The United States of Europe"... 3,411 days 2014 Mar 3 KEVIN JAMES COSTIGANE, GALLOWAY Alan Walters is undoubtedly correct in his prediction of the Euro's demise, he has just got the timescale wrong, i.e he is being overly optimistic. The Federal Government of the EU will pull out all the stops to keep the Dodo alive (and the UK Gov will do all it can to help; this will buy some time, but the collapse is inevitable. 2,191 days 2014 Nov 23 Dick Barton (really !), Dover I'll be 90 that day and if still around will rise up and smite this and any other future UK (or English)Parliament for such supreme stupidity as still being in the EU. The difficulty will be to remove all those polititians & bureaucrats who have their snouts so firmly stuck in the trough 2,800 days 2015 Mar 1 Mat, Surrey 4,051 days 2015 Jun 1 Andrew Sims, Berkshire 3,800 days 2015 Aug 12 roger smith, birmingham The euro will colapse when the UK leaves the EU as we have to support this currency even though we do not use it, it may happen earlier if other gross contributers leave 3,413 days 2016 Dec 1 John Barton, Northumberland Thge Germans will throw money, ours as well, at keeping the Euro. This is when I think that all Gold and money reserves will run out. 3,877 days 2017 Jan 1 D Barton, Kent 3,570 days 2017 Sep 21 Daniel, England Let's hope we keep the pound forever!! 4,799 days 2019 Apr 1 Tim Harris, Surrey, England It can't happen too soon. 5,225 days 2019 Sep 12 MUZAFFER KUCUK, Turkey-Ankara if turkey becomes a member u will see 4,498 days 2019 Sep 12 MUZAFFER KUCUK, Turkey-Ankara if turkey becomes a member u will see 4,498 days 2020 Jan 1 yebv, Artic 5,309 days 2028 May 7 james lawrence, Berkshire God help us! 7,825 days 2032 Nov 15 Apan, manila 10,156 days 2040 Feb 1 Duran O'Dwyer, Britain 13,050 days 2049 Jan 1 kurt, New York City, New York The Euro is in a great position to become the worlds main trading currency in a few years. The United States had many currecncies before We united to the dollar. There are growing pains and ups and downs. The Euro should learn not to have enormous debt like the U.S. To collapse the U.S> currency could be an act like oil producing countries only trading in Euro. There would be a huge selloff of dollars. Or what if China called in part of its 120 billion dolars of U.S. debt it has in the U.S.? This would be catastrphic for the United Staes and also for other countries including China however some countries are willing to spend hundreds of billions on a military war and maybe spending hundreds of billions of an economic war is not far off. I predict the Euro is fine 16,129 days 2049 Apr 13 Cathal Dunne, Ireland I think the euro, while weighed down with its current, internal contradictions will surmount these obstacles over the next 5 to 10 years. The saying 2Rome wasn't built in a day" comes to mind when one thinks of the euro. Tha said, the euro will probably die, not on the account of poor performance of the euro but on the account of the creation of a global currency. 15,890 days 2049 Jul 1 Mike Natrass, UK What a laugh to see such well know Euro loonies as [DELETED] having their stupid immortalised on this site! Excellent ammunition when that stupid bigot next writes to the [DELETED]. 15,935 days 2049 Oct 5 Alistair Broomhead, York Any great currency's got to change eventually! 16,071 days 2049 Dec 31 D.W.Roberts, Wales Too many politicians have too much riding on it for it to be allowed to fail. 15,798 days 2050 Jan 1 Jonathan Hewitt, London Long may it live...broaden your minds eurosceptics 16,794 days 2050 Dec 31 Ken, Dublin, Ireland It's just not going to happen no matter how much the Brits wish it. Time they woke up. 15,616 days 9492 May 13 Neil Schembri, Malta when the continents would have joined back together!! 2,735,492 days Note: When this list becomes too long the individual years will be expandable Click here for the Prediction Form, rules and judging criteria. If you want to comment, compliment, dispute or harangue me, please email andrew@euro-sceptic.org

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